The CAP forecast is valid for the state of California. However, we can estimate regional precipitation forecasts by applying the statewide forecast (90-110% of normal) to the regional precipitation averages. For Region 6 (Kern and Kings) 90-110% of normal equates to 20.46” to 25.01”.

Please note: This month's calculations are based on only five stations, so actual values may differ from those reported.

When we look at NWS data for Region 6 (KTKK) with only 5 stations reporting, this region was at 83.8% of water year normal through the end of April, receiving 1.52” to finish at 19.06”. This represented a gain of nearly six percentage points. Consistent with last month, 3 of the 5 stations are on the “wet” side of the distribution. The average % increase for April was an 6.21%, exceeding (and almost doubling) the median increase of 3.30% for the 110 reporting stations across the state. Lake Success Dam had the highest increase in precipitation percentage for the region, gaining 7.98 percentage points.

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