The CAP forecast is valid for the state of California. However, we can estimate regional precipitation forecasts by applying the statewide forecast (90-110% of normal) to the regional precipitation averages. For Region 6 (Kern and Kings) 90-110% of normal equates to 24.98” to 30.53”.  This region has received 1.73” during the month of December to finish at 5.18” (18.7% of WY normal).

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If we consider the precipitation distribution for the state, we find that 91% of reporting stations in Region 6 fall on the “dry” side of the distribution.  The average WY accumulation for Region 6 is 18.7%.  Lake Success had the highest accumulation percentage in the region, receiving 1.36” of precipitation in December, bringing its total accumulation to 31% of the water year average. Notably, it was the only station in the region to fall on the "wet" side of the distribution.