March 2026
Region 3: Russian, Napa, & San Francisco Bay
Precipitation
CAP model output indicates that Region 3 will receive 100-120% of normal precipitation. For Region 3, 100-120% of normal equates to 22.82-27.38”.
The regional gauge below shows the CAP forecast lower and upper bounds (22.82-27.38”), the “normal” for Region 3, and the observed precipitation through March 9. After the month’s quiet start, late-February storms boosted water year totals by 5.09 inches. February had the second-highest monthly total of the water year for Region 3, trailing only December. From February 1 through March 9, Region 3 gained roughly 22 percentage points and brings the region to 91.33% of its total water year accumulation.
PLEASE NOTE: Water-year averages and accumulations are calculated using the California–Nevada River Forecast Center (CNRFC) monthly precipitation observations, which provide station-level precipitation totals across valley floor, foothill, and mountain locations. These observations are sourced directly from the National Weather Service CNRFC precipitation monitoring dataset and are used to derive regional water-year accumulations and percentages of normal for each CAP region.

